UEFA Nations League Betting Odds – Matchday 5 Preview
Even besides all the criticism, the UEFA Nations League has still provided us with great matches so far. The new UEFA-organized competition was created with the aim to give smaller countries a chance to book a spot in the Euros and make the continental competition more attractive. Of course, the idea was not met in a really positive manner by the biggest European nations, but it seems that UEFA is determined to stick to the Nations League, at least for now.
The UEFA Nations League is a new biennial football competition that includes the men’s soccer national teams from all of UEFA’s member associates. The tournament aims to replace friendly matches during the season and gives smaller European countries a chance to qualify for the Euros. The first tournament started in September 2018 and will end with the Nations League Finals in June 2019.
The main complaint most experts had about the tournament was its confusing format. We must all agree that it’s quite complex, but we must also agree that it gives lower-ranked nations a great shot at appearing in the European Championship. There are four leagues in total, each one comprising of 4 groups with either 3 or 4 teams. The leagues and groups were formed using the position of the national teams in the UEFA national team coefficient ranking system in order to avoid situations where a lower-ranked team plays a European football juggernaut. In this way, the strongest national teams are placed in League A, while the lower-ranked teams are in the Leagues below (B, C, and D).
The UEFA Nations League betting odds put France and Spain as the main favourites, with Belgium and Portugal behind them. However, with 4 matchdays behind us, the tournament has already provided us with quite interesting matches and results. From Germany’s shocking form to the unexpected rise of Gibraltar, the Nations League is a breath of fresh air in the world of European football, just like UEFA promised.
Matchday 5 is certain to be pretty interesting, featuring matches between the likes of Croatia and Spain, while also pitting the reinvigorated Dutch national side against world champions France.
Croatia – Spain
The fourth group in League A was rightfully called the Group of Death when England, Croatia, and Spain were drawn together. No one expected the Croats to underperform so badly until now considering the fact that they ended the 2018 World Cup with a silver medal. Spain has already qualified for the Nations League Finals and England is second, leaving Croatia stuck on the last place, fearing relegation to League B.
Still, Croatia is not a team that should be undervalued – let’s not forget that they’ve just played in the World Cup final. Sure, they were thrashed by Spain the last time they played, but with 2 matches left in the group, the Croats will definitely try to turn things around.
The first of those matches comes on November 15 against Spain on their home turf. Even though the Spaniards are major favourites for the match, Croatia’s chances shouldn’t be diminished, especially due to the fact that they’re playing at home. At the moment, Croatia is being given odds of 49/20 to win the match at SportPesa, and 5/2 at BetVision, BetEast, and Fun88. On the other hand, Spain is available at 11/10 at all bookies. If you think the match will end in a draw, the odds are 9/4.
Considering the fact that Spain won 6-0 against a largely detached Croatia side a couple of weeks ago, the Spaniards are rightful favourites and their odds are enticing enough. Croatia’s odds, however, may bring you a lot more in return and when they play in front of their home fans, anything is possible.
If you’re not really interested in 1×2 bets, you can try your hand in other markets such as Both Teams to Score (20/23 – Yes, 4/5 – No at SportPesa) or try a handicap alternative – handicaps never disappoint when you get them right.
Netherlands – France
The Netherlands national team was a mess before the Nations League started. After failing to qualify for the World Cup this year, it was obvious that a change was needed and that it was time for the new kids on the block to step up. No one really expected the Dutch side to play great football in a group that also features Germany and France, but in their two matches so far, they’ve defeated the Germans and lost narrowly to France.
The Dutch are playing with renewed vigour under new manager Ronald Koeman and their rejuvenated squad looks quite set on qualifying for the upcoming Euros. Of course, they’ll have to win or at least get a draw against France and Germany in the 2 remaining matchdays, but considering the uninspiring form of the Germans and the way the Dutch national team has played so far, their chances are not bad at all.
The odds for this match are close, although France is slightly in the lead. You can back the current world champions at 13/10 at BetEast, BetVision, Fun88, and SportPesa. If you believe that the Dutch can defeat France, you can place a wager on their 37/20 odds at SportPesa, and 19/10 at BetEast, BetVision, and Fun88. If you think that a draw is on the cards, the odds are 47/20 at BetVision, BetEast, and Fun88, and 23/10 at SportPesa.
Of course, all the bookies offer very attractive odds in other markets for the match as well – for example, Fun88 offers betting on Total Goals (per half and full match), both teams to score, draw no bet, and other markets which shouldn’t go unnoticed.
Italy – Portugal
After missing the 2018 World Cup, Italy has never looked worse. The arrival of Roberto Mancini as manager, however, fixed the glaring problem concerning the age of the national team. Mancini has given a chance to many young players and although the results aren’t amazing, Italy is sitting in the second spot in Group 3 of League A, with a chance of overtaking the top.
To finish first and qualify for the Nations League finals, the Italians will have to defeat Portugal on Matchday 5, but that won’t be an easy task. With Cristiano Ronaldo in the team, Portugal will always be a threat to any team they play. Their bad run of form, however, has made the Italians bookie favourites for the match – Mancini’s side is available at 6/5 (SportPesa, BetVision, BetEast, and Fun88) versus Portugal’s odds of 23/10.
If you think that the teams will split the points, the draw is available at 21/10 at BetEast, BetVision, and Fun88, and 41/20 at SportPesa. If you don’t find these odds attractive, there are always other markets you can try, and the odds are just as enticing, if not better.
Wales – Denmark
The fourth group in League B is just as interesting as the groups in League A. Although it doesn’t feature juggernauts such as France or Spain, it features two almost equal teams in Wales and Denmark, plus the already relegated Republic of Ireland.
The Gareth Bale-led Wales is top of the group with one match left in play – the one on Matchday 5 against Denmark. Denmark has two matches left, however, so they could top the group if they win them both. What makes the match so interesting is that bookies can’t seem to clearly separate the teams, so we may be in for an exciting match.
Wales is a slight favourite with odds of 31/20 at Fun88, SportPesa, BetVision, and BetEast, but Denmark isn’t too far behind with odds of 37/20 (BetEast, BetVision, Fun88) and 9/5 (SportPesa). Even the odds for a draw are similar (39/20), meaning that we could be in for quite a match. If you’re not sure on the final outcome, you can try playing the goals market or predict which team will be the first to score (20/21 – Wales; 11/10 – Denmark at Fun88).